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Analysis: When will the next COVID, flu surge start?

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... A surge in flu and COVID cases is likely on the way, but the timing of the winter wave may be different this year.

The summer of 2024 saw a dramatic increase in COVID-19 cases for a period that stretched well into September.

“Perhaps a silver lining in that cloud is that the large number of summer cases may mean that our winter wave is going to be a little smaller because individuals who were infected in the summer should have immunity that will take them into December and January,” Dr. Andrew Pekosz, professor at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, said in a media briefing this month.

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